Based on the accumulating evidence coming in from medics, epidemiologists, psychiatrists, economists, and educators, I am willing to bet that lockdowns will go down in history as one of the most catastrophic policy errors of modern times.
“Beware of forecasters. Humans have a large appetite for forecasts and predictions across a broad spectrum of domains. People must recognize that the accuracy of forecasts in systems with phase transitions is dismal, even by so-called experts.” Think Twice by Michael Mauboussin
100K dead figure for Covid isn't reliable. It's deeply misleading. It combines data from two seasons (2019-20 and 2020-21). It includes people who did not die with covid at all. It includes many who died with it but not because of it. It doesn't note 50K excess deaths in 2017-18.